We don’t know the future. Luckily, to be successful in trading, we don’t have to. All we need to know is how to quantify and exploit probabilities.
In the example below we revert back to our old observation: clues markets cannot help but give away about their intentions often start to unfold on lower timeframes showing subtle clues in the movement of the crowd. Subtle clues that we can then use as we prepare to exploit crowd behaviour on the HTF (trading) timeframe.
One classic example of this is watching for failure tests (strong, ping-pong ball style bounces) on lower timeframes which may lead to the re-emergence of momentum on our larger timeframe (the timeframe we actually trade). In summary:
watch for potential failure tests on the LTF
prepare to enter on the HTF if the LTF failure test develops into a re-emergence of momentum on the HTF.
Now, it’s easy to be smart on yesterday’s chart. But we are here talking about today’s chart. Mindful trading!
6E 2026 09 12: potential failure test on the 240m chart feeding into the re-emergence of momentum on the daily. Our algorithm has already done the math (see entry signal on daily)
