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Actionable market insight for technically motivated directional traders

  • I'm new to this. Where do I start?

    Start with the Documentation. See link above. Then you may want to read through the documentation of our software products to see how we go about interacting with the markets.

  • When is this page updated?

    We update this page, with our plan and outlook for the next trading day, by midnight Eastern Time prior to every trading session on the US futures markets. We also post updates as necessary during the day (see 'intraday' folder).

  • Your charts are too big for me

    This is the most frequent comment we receive. Consider the following:


    a) It's important to ask the question: why do we want to trade a given timeframe. If because that's where our edge is, fine. But if we want to trade a timeframe because that's what we think is the only thing we have money for, we're in trouble. We have to pick timeframe not based on our wishes, but on where our verified edge is.

    b) Ok, is there some good news?

    Yes, lots:

    - With us, you'll be trading with an edge. (Without an edge, there is no point in risking a single dollar on the markets.)

    - Now, most of our trades are intraday trades, the 240min timeframe still being six times less than a day.

    - Also, many of our 240min trade ideas can be adapted to even smaller timeframes by simply waiting for the next pullback on the lower timeframe (LTF) after the 240min trigger.

    - Also, many of our trade ideas are on currency futures. On relatively small accounts, they can be executed on forex, which allows more granular risk management.

    - Many of our trade ideas can also be executed on ETFs: say, GLD for a GC trade or TLT for bond futures.

    - Finally, on smaller accounts trades can be executed with micro contracts (MES, MGC etc.). While some will say "that way you can't make money", our answer is: but one will learn to fish, and that's worth all the money!

    It is clear our service allows the capital accumulation process to be implemented on any reasonably-sized account.

  • What do "technically motivated" and "directional" mean?

    Technically motivated traders make trading/investing decisions based on what price has done in the past. We, as technically motivated traders, do not normally include macroeconomic or fundamental factors (e.g. a given company's financials) into our thinking. We hold the view that patterns can be uncovered in price behaviour alone that have predictive value.

    Directional traders expect price to move up or down. For directional traders to make money, price needs to move. Note: there are non-directional trading styles as well, although those are beyond the scope of our focus on these pages.

  • Miscellaneous notes

    - Make sure you read the Documentation, become familiar with our Market Scanner, and follow the markets every day to build intuition to make best use of this service.

    - We tend to scale back activities on the indexes leading up to FOMC releases, while being aware that the FOMC news release can often serve as a catalyst. We also stay out of intraday trades 10 minutes before and after of major news releases.

    - We're often wrong. After all, we work with probabilities, and this work is all about the future, the yet unknown. We judge our work not by how many times we're right or wrong, but - to paraphrase one of the best traders of all time - by 'how much we make when we're right and how much we lose when we're wrong'.

Please note: instead of the live trade rooms, we’ll upload one video about an important aspect of successful trading weekly or as warranted, solely for Premium subscribers. Send in your comments or questions you’d like to be covered in this new video series. Put “Premium videos” in the subject line. Thanks!

Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

US Futures at a glance


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF FRIDAY, 2023 04 28

News at 8.30am

Indexes: 3 sigma moves, shorts destroyed (or so it seems). Look for first pullback if not long yet.
Currencies: 6B, 6E monitoring for longs
Commodities: GC, SI
monitoring for longs.
Financials:
standing by
Agriculturals:
standing by


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 04 27

News at 8.30am (could be a catalyst)

Indexes: back to sideways. Standing by.
Currencies: standing by
Commodities: GC, SI
monitoring for longs.
Financials: ZB/ZN
monitoring for longs
Agriculturals:
standing by


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF wednesday, 2023 04 26

News at 8.30am, 10.30am ET

Note: there’s not much to report, the correct position on the indexes is to be flat for now. Back in the evening with the update!

Indexes: have the bulls lost control? We’ll know more after the open. Standing by.
Currencies: standing by
Commodities: GC, SI
well set up for longs. CL expected to move up, look for trigger.
Financials: ZB
1R and more
Agriculturals:
standing by


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 04 25

News at 10am ET (expect a catalyst, this market needs a kick)

Indexes: nothing we can add since yesterday, the game plan is unchanged
Currencies: 6B, 6S, 6E longs in progress
Commodities: GC, SI
monitoring for longs. CL expected to move up, look for trigger.
Financials: “ZB
monitoring for upside momentum to emerge”, we said yesterday. It has emerged.
Agriculturals:
standing by


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF Monday, 2023 04 24

No News.

Indexes: if already long, you’re most likely on the right side of the market. If not long yet, look to be long if upside momentum emerges
Currencies: monitoring 6A, 6B, 6C, 6S, 6E for longs
Commodities: GC, SI
monitoring for longs. CT off the list. CL fills gap.
Financials: ZB
monitoring for upside momentum to emerge
Agriculturals:
standing by


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF FRIDAY, 2023 04 21

News at 9.45am ET

Indexes: longs in progress, but no momentum so far
Currencies: Monitoring 6A, 6B, 6C, 6S, 6E for longs
Commodities: GC, SI
monitoring for longs. CT off the list. CL fills gap.
Financials: ZB
monitoring for measured move on 240min chart
Agriculturals:
standing by


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 04 20

News at 8.30am, 10am ET

Indexes: longs in progress, but no momentum so far
Currencies: Monitoring 6A, 6E for longs
Commodities: GC, SI
long setups.
Financials:
standing by
Agriculturals:
standing by


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF WEDNESDAY, 2023 04 19

News at 10.30am ET (energies)

Indexes: longs in progress
Currencies: Monitoring 6A, 6E for longs
Commodities: CL, RB
long setup, CT, KC next longs setting up. SI long setup.
Financials:
standing by
Agriculturals:
standing by


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 04 18

News at 8.30am ET (may become catalyst)

Indexes: longs in progress
Currencies: Monitoring 6A, 6E for longs
Commodities: CL
long setup, CT, KC next longs setting up. SI long setup.
Financials:
standing by
Agriculturals: ZC
1R


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF monday, 2023 04 17

No News.

Indexes: bulls in control, reason to be long
Currencies: BTC long in progress, and new long setup. Longs done, and/or expecting further longs on major pairs, monitoring for setups.
Commodities: CL, RB
moving up, CT, KC next longs setting up.
Financials:
standing by
Agriculturals: ZC
long triggered on daily


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 04 14

News at 8.30am, 9.15am ET

Note: lots of 1Rs today

Indexes: bulls in control
Currencies: BTC long in progress. 6E, 6B, 6S, 6A, 6N longs in progress or 1Rs. 6J potential measured move
Commodities: CL
moving up, GC, SI, CT, KC long in progress or 1Rs
Financials: ZB, ZN
working on new longs
Agriculturals:
monitoring ZC daily for long


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF thursday, 2023 04 13

News at 8.30am (could be a catalyst)

Indexes: fake-out, stopped out. Monitoring
Currencies: BTC long in progress. 6E, 6B, 6S longs in progress and/or 1Rs
Commodities: CL
moving up, GC, SI, CT, KC long setups
Financials: ZB, ZN
working on new longs
Agriculturals:
monitoring ZC daily for long


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF WEDNESDAY, 2023 04 12

News at 8.30am, 10.30am (CL). FOMC at 2pm ET!

Indexes: FOMC 2pm expected to be a catalyst. Reason to be long, just expect increased volatility upon the news!
Currencies: BTC moving. 6E, 6B long setups
Commodities: CL
moving up, GC, SI, CT, KC long setups
Financials: ZB, ZN
working on new longs. Ready to go long if re-triggered.
Agriculturals:
monitoring ZC daily for long


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 04 11

No News.

Indexes: as expected. Reason to be long
Currencies: no triggers, no harm. Monitoring. BTC moving
Commodities: CL
monitoring, GC, SI, CT, KC long setups
Financials: ZB, ZN
longs stopped out (breakeven). Ready to go long if re-triggered.
Agriculturals:
monitoring ZC daily for long


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF monday, 2023 04 10

No News.

Indexes: looking for further longs, watching RTY bearflag has failed, an extremely bullish sign.
Currencies: 6E long setups, 6S just about 1R, 6B long setup
Commodities: CL expected to move up, CT, KC long setups
Financials: ZB, ZN
longs in progress
Agriculturals:
standing by


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 04 07

News at 8.30am ET. (expected market mover). Note: markets close early!

Indexes: looking for further longs, watching RTY for a (potential) bearflag failure
Currencies: 6J ,6E long setups
Commodities: CL expected to move up
Financials: ZB, ZN
longs in progress
Agriculturals:
standing by


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 04 06

News at 8.30am ET.

Indexes: YM looking for a trigger, watching RTY for a bearflag failure
Currencies: 6J ,6E long setups
Commodities: GC hits 2050.
Financials: ZB, ZN
longs in progress
Agriculturals:
standing by


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF WEDNESDAY, 2023 04 05

News at 8.30am, 10.30am ET.

Indexes: longs in progress
Currencies: Longs in progress
Commodities: GC 1R, SI hits 25.
Financials:
longs triggered
Agriculturals:
standing by


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 04 04

News at 10am ET.

Indexes: longs in progress. Look for longs on your timeframe if not long yet. (See important pivots on weekly.)
Currencies: Long setups on most major pairs. BTC long in progress.
Commodities: GC long setup, SI expected to move up.
Financials:
long setups in the works, pay attention
Agriculturals:
long setup on ZW


FOR THE TRADING DAY OF monday, 2023 04 03

News at 10am ET. Also: OPEC meeting in progress.

Indexes: longs in progress. Look for longs on your timeframe if not long yet. (Expect some consolidation after Friday’s move.)
Currencies: BTC long in progress
Commodities: CL huge upgap, lock in profits if long. Expect volatility and upside potential on energies.
Financials:
long setups in the works, pay attention
Agriculturals:
long setups in the works, pay attention


Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.