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Actionable market insight for technically motivated directional traders

  • I'm new to this. Where do I start?

    Start with the Documentation. See link above. Then you may want to read through the documentation of our software products to see how we go about interacting with the markets.

  • When is this page updated?

    We update this page, with our plan and outlook for the next trading day, by midnight Eastern Time prior to every trading session on the US futures markets. We also post updates as necessary during the day (see 'intraday' folder).

  • Your charts are too big for me

    This is the most frequent comment we receive. Consider the following:


    a) It's important to ask the question: why do we want to trade a given timeframe. If because that's where our edge is, fine. But if we want to trade a timeframe because that's what we think is the only thing we have money for, we're in trouble. We have to pick timeframe not based on our wishes, but on where our verified edge is.

    b) Ok, is there some good news?

    Yes, lots:

    - With us, you'll be trading with an edge. (Without an edge, there is no point in risking a single dollar on the markets.)

    - Now, most of our trades are intraday trades, the 240min timeframe still being six times less than a day.

    - Also, many of our 240min trade ideas can be adapted to even smaller timeframes by simply waiting for the next pullback on the lower timeframe (LTF) after the 240min trigger.

    - Also, many of our trade ideas are on currency futures. On relatively small accounts, they can be executed on forex, which allows more granular risk management.

    - Many of our trade ideas can also be executed on ETFs: say, GLD for a GC trade or TLT for bond futures.

    - Finally, on smaller accounts trades can be executed with micro contracts (MES, MGC etc.). While some will say "that way you can't make money", our answer is: but one will learn to fish, and that's worth all the money!

    It is clear our service allows the capital accumulation process to be implemented on any reasonably-sized account.

  • What do "technically motivated" and "directional" mean?

    Technically motivated traders make trading/investing decisions based on what price has done in the past. We, as technically motivated traders, do not normally include macroeconomic or fundamental factors (e.g. a given company's financials) into our thinking. We hold the view that patterns can be uncovered in price behaviour alone that have predictive value.

    Directional traders expect price to move up or down. For directional traders to make money, price needs to move. Note: there are non-directional trading styles as well, although those are beyond the scope of our focus on these pages.

  • Miscellaneous notes

    - Make sure you read the Documentation, become familiar with our Market Scanner, and follow the markets every day to build intuition to make best use of this service.

    - We tend to scale back activities on the indexes leading up to FOMC releases, while being aware that the FOMC news release can often serve as a catalyst. We also stay out of intraday trades 10 minutes before and after of major news releases.

    - We're often wrong. After all, we work with probabilities, and this work is all about the future, the yet unknown. We judge our work not by how many times we're right or wrong, but - to paraphrase one of the best traders of all time - by 'how much we make when we're right and how much we lose when we're wrong'.

Please note: instead of the live trade rooms, we’ll upload one edited video about an important aspect of successful trading weekly or as warranted, solely for Premium subscribers. Send in your comments or questions you’d like to be covered in this new video series. Put “Premium videos” in the subject line. Thanks!

Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

US Futures at a glance

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 03 31

News at 8.30am ET

Note: this week has provided further evidence that our method works, that we read the markets well: the indexes (including good reads on YM, RTY, well ahead of the crowd), 6C, 6B (1Rs), 6E in progress, CL, GC, MBT still coming up. The task for every trader is to structure trades based on these rock-solid analyses that meet the requirements of our individual risk profiles.

Indexes: longs in progress
Currencies: BTC long in progress. 6C, long on 6B, 6E, 6N
Commodities: CL, GC long setup
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 03 30

News at 8.30am ET (potential catalyst)

Indexes: longs in progress
Currencies: BTC long in progress. 1R on 6C, long on 6B
Commodities: Monitoring energies (CL, RB) for long entry
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: monitoring ZC, ZW for longs

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF WEDNESDAY, 2023 03 29

News at 10.30am (energies) ET

Indexes: look for long if not long yet
Currencies: tighten stops if long. BTC expected to fill gap around 35,000
Commodities: Monitoring energies (CL, RB) for long entry
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: monitoring ZC, ZW for longs

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 03 28

News at 8.30am, 10am ET

Indexes: no selloff a hint towards a bullish resolution. News may be catalyst.
Currencies: long setups or moves in progress on 6A, 6N, 6B, 6S, 6E, find a spot to join. BTC expected to fill gap around 35,000
Commodities: more long potential on GC, SI. Monitoring energies (CL, RB) for long entry
Financials: ZB/ZN monitoring for long trigger
Agriculturals: monitoring ZC, ZW for longs

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF monday, 2023 03 27

No News.

Indexes: markets hinting towards a bullish resolution
Currencies: expecting a move to the upside on DX, monitoring, planning to act accordingly on major pairs
Commodities: more long potential on GC, SI
Financials: ZB/ZN monitoring for long trigger
Agriculturals: monitoring ZC, ZW for long (no setup yet)

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF FRIDAY, 2023 03 24

News at 8.30am, 9.45am EST

Indexes: the bulls are not done yet
Currencies: monitoring for long on 6J
Commodities: more long potential on GC
Financials: ZB/ZN monitoring for long trigger
Agriculturals: ZS breaks down

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF thursday, 2023 03 23

News at 8.30am, 10am EST

Indexes: 1R on NQ, otherwise timeframe conflict between daily and weekly lingers
Currencies: long 6E weekly
Commodities: more long potential on GC
Financials: ZB/ZN monitoring for long trigger
Agriculturals: monitoring for breakout trade on ZC

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF WEDNESDAY, 2023 03 22

News at 10.30am (energies) EST. FOMC at 2pm!

Indexes: longs in progress, while staying humble and confident in our method (refer to yesterday’s video)
Currencies: reason to be long on weekly 6E, MBT expected to fill gap at 35000
Commodities: standing by
Financials: ZB/ZN monitoring for long trigger
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF tuesday, 2023 03 21

News at 10am EST. Note: FOMC on Wednesday (with the usual routine we follow.) Our analysis continues to guide us well. It pays to pay attention!

Indexes: a bullish resolution is becoming likely on the indexes, based on evidence coming from price action (see video!). Wed 2pm is likely to become the catalst (aka “the excuse”) that will move the markets.
Currencies: looking for longs on major pairs . 1R on MBT, and fills first gap.
Commodities: GC at 2000 and a success story..
Financials: ZB/ZN monitoring for long trigger
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF monday, 2023 03 20

No News. But note: FOMC on Wednesday (with the usual routine we follow.)

Indexes: bullish setup on NQ, nothing bullish on the others. Standing by, but ready to pursue triggers in either direction.
Currencies: standing by, conflicting messages. 1R on MBT
Commodities: GC as expected, good analysis on SI too.
Financials: monitoring for long trigger
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 03 17

News at 9.15am EDT. Careful out there: Quadruple Witching

Indexes: good work, longs in progress
Currencies: DX bullflag on 240min/daily, looking for shorts on major pairs, e.g. 6A. Monitoring for long on MBT
Commodities: GC inside day, reason to be long on weekly. KC back on list.
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF thursday, 2023 03 16

News at 8.30am EDT

Indexes: reason to consider long on daily NQ/RTY (if not long yet)
Currencies: DX timeframe conflict. Monitoring for long on 6E, short on 6A
Commodities: GC/SI reason to be long on weekly. HG, KC dropped.
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF Wednesday, 2023 03 15

News at 8.30am EDT (may move markets)

Indexes: ready to pursue long triggers
Currencies: bearflag on weekly DX guides us. Monitoring for longs on major pairs, e.g. 6E, 6J, 6B. Also watching MBT weekly bullflag
Commodities: GC/SI weekly in control. Reason to be long on weekly timeframe. HG, KC long setups still valid.
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 03 14

News at 8.30am EDT

Indexes: standing by. Not pursuing shorts, open for longs
Currencies: little clarity. Monitoring for longs on major pairs, e.g. 6E, MBT
Commodities: GC/SI weekly in control. Reason to be long on weekly timeframe. HG, KC long setups.
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF MONDAY, 2023 03 13

No News (but major news coming in on Tue/Wed that may be catalysts)

Indexes: 1Rs completed on the indexes, looking for next bearflag. Insist on triggers!
Currencies: monitoring for shorts on major pairs, 6A/6N, 6E, 6C daily
Commodities: GC watching bullflag on weekly (ETF an option)
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 03 10

News: 8.30am EST

Indexes: bearish bias, monitoring for next bearflag on NQ
Currencies: DX didn’t move, monitoring for shorts on major pairs, 6B, 6C
Commodities: standing by
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: ZW 1R, ZC 1R

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF thursday, 2023 03 09

News: 8.30am EST

Note: focusing on currencies

Indexes: no clean setup, standing by
Currencies: DX bullflag, short setups on several major pairs, 6A, 6B, 6E, 6S
Commodities: GC/SI short setups
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: ZW 1R, short in progress on ZC

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF WEDNESDAY, 2023 03 08

News: 10am Powell will speak. Moved the markets on Tues, expecting the same on Wednesday. Exercise caution.

Indexes: long setups failed (but no trigger, no harm). Standing by.
Currencies: DX has moved. 6E still good for a short. Some big moves on 6A etc. Do not chase those.
Commodities: lesson on GC, see video. KC long valid, CL long stalled at 0.5R, this happens too, we are short-term traders, we have to manage open positions actively.
Financials: short setups on daily (be mindful of Powell…)
Agriculturals: short in progress on ZW, short setup on ZC

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF tuesday, 2023 03 07

News: 10am “speak” may move markets, exercise caution.

Indexes: looking for long entries
Currencies: DX sideways, standing by
Commodities: bullflag on weekly GC, KC long monitoring on daily, CL long in progress
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: short in progress on ZW, short setup on ZC

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF MONDAY, 2023 03 06

No News.

Note: make sure you watch the video as we head into next week. Potentially, important events coming our way.

Indexes: expecting bearish potential to evaporate, based on Friday’s action. If bulls take control, a run to the high is not impossible. Pay attention this week!
Currencies: DX sideways, standing by
Commodities: bullflag on weekly GC, KC long dropped, monitoring CL for longs
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: short about to trigger on ZW, short setup on ZC

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF FRIDAY, 2023 03 03

No News.

Indexes: monitoring for short on 240min
Currencies: monitoring for short on 6J
Commodities: monitoring for long on KC, CL
Financials: ZB, ZN shorts in progress
Agriculturals: monitoring for short on ZW

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 03 02

News at 8.30am EST

Indexes: monitoring for short on 240min
Currencies: monitoring for shorts on major pairs: 6A, 6N
Commodities: monitoring for long on KC, CL
Financials: ZB, ZN shorts in progress
Agriculturals: monitoring for short on ZW

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF WEDNESDAY, 2023 03 01

News at 9.45am, 10am, 10.30am (CL) EST

Indexes: monitoring for short on 240min
Currencies: monitoring for shorts on major pairs: 6E, 6N, 6J
Commodities: monitoring for long on KC, CL
Financials: ZB, ZN monitoring for shorts
Agriculturals: standing by

Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.